Morning Star (mst)
Forecast: bullish reversal
Trend prior to the pattern: downtrend
The Morning Star is a three-candlestick pattern that signifies a bullish reversal and the end of a downtrend. This pattern is widely recognized in candlestick analysis and is essential for identifying a bottom and considering asset purchases.Complementing its bearish counterpart, the Evening Star, the Morning Star is also a trend reversal pattern indicating a shift in market direction. The key feature shared by both patterns is the presence of a relatively short candlestick in the central position (the 2nd candlestick). Despite their structural similarities, these patterns yield opposing results; the Evening Star denotes a bearish reversal, while the Morning Star implies a bullish reversal.Traders might encounter confusion between the Morning Star and the Morning Doji Star pattern. The distinguishing factor lies in the 2nd candlestick: the Morning Doji Star always incorporates a doji candlestick. Furthermore, the 2nd candlestick of the Morning Star initiates with a price gap, a characteristic not mandatory for the Morning Doji Star. In both scenarios, the 2nd candlestick represents the market's indecisiveness.Construction1st• candle in downtrend• long red body2nd• red or green body• equal sized up and bottom shadow as indicator of uncertainty• candle high price above 1st candle low price• significantly smaller than 1st and 3rd candlesticks, excluding possibility of doji• opens with price gap below low price of 1st candlestick①3rd• long green body• open price with gap up above 2nd candlestick close price①Confirmation of the Morning Star should be sought in subsequent candles by observing a break of the trendline or the nearest resistance zone formed by the initial candlestick of the pattern.Stop loss order can be placed below the recent low (2nd candlestick), as a break of this level would invalidate the reversal.
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